Friday, April 08, 2005

Another Important Number

As we sit in first alone, our magic number is 160.

The crowds at tradesports.com remain skeptical, as they say we have a 1 percent chance of winning the division. Maybe they missed the telecasts of our two victories.

2 Comments:

At 11:49 AM, Blogger Yuda said...

Diamond Mind's preseason projections (based on 100 sims, I believe) pegged us for the division crown 2% of the time and the wild card an additional 3%.

A 5% shot at the playoffs sounds about right to me -- it's possible if everything goes right, but the odds of everything going right are pretty long.

 
At 4:21 PM, Blogger DM said...

Interesting. Thanks for the link. Kind of odd to think we have a better chance at the playoffs than 5 or 6 other teams in the NL. The DMB model is also pretty bearish on the Mets, though they are making that bet look good so far this year.

 

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