Saturday, June 25, 2005

The Nats' Most Valuable Things

Capitol Punishment is asking whether Chad Cordero might be in the running for Cy Young and whether he is more important than Livan. This prompted me to compile the list below, the ten most valuable things for the Nats this year, based on season Win Value (including Friday's game against the Jays):

(1) Chad Cordero's Arm, 42.63
(2) Nick Johnson's Bat, 40.36
(3) Livan Hernandez's Arm, 22.62
(4) Jose Guillen's Bat, 12.94
(5) John Patterson's Arm, 11.88
(6) Ryan Church's Bat, 11.78
(7) Gary Majewski's Arm, 11.14
(8) Hector Carrasco's Arm, 9.08
(9) Brian Schneider's Bat, 8.98
(10) Brad Wilkerson's Bat, 7.09

Just off the list are Ayala's arm, 6.74, and Schneider's glove, 6.69. Carrasco and Church suprised me the most on the list.

I know you must be thinking, what about the least valuable things? The bottom 2 are Guzman's Bat, -39.57 and Castilla's Bat, -21.48.


At 10:52 PM, Blogger Sam said...

No Loaiza?

At 11:52 AM, Blogger DM said...

Good question, Sam. Loaiza's had a decent, but up and down season. Recall he got bombed by the Reds and did not pitch well agains the Angels, both of those games hurt his WV total. Still, his arm is not far off the list, with a Pitching WV of 4.29.

Eagle-eyed readers will note that that 42.9 does not seem to jive with Loaiza's total from the last Friday Morning Figures. That's because I finally implemented a more robust Win Value system, which affected the values from that last chart. I will make it up to the readers with three new things, to be posted in the next couple of hours: (1) A new Friday Morning Figures, complete through Saturday's games, (2) a chart for Esteban Loaiza's pitching season, and (3) an example of a new "Win Value Game Chart" from last night, which plots the likelihood of a Nats victory over the time of the game.

At 11:52 AM, Blogger DM said...

That should be 4.29, not 42.9


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