PLEASE don't trade for Preston Wilson
Strong rumor on the street has it that within the next day or two, we will be sending J.J. Davis and Zach Day to the Rockies for Preston Wilson. One might ask, well, what is wrong with this? Davis never plays and Day can't hit the broad side of a barnacle with his pitches. The problem isn't what we are trading. The problem is what the trade will mean. Preston Wilson makes over $12 million a year, making him three times richer than our next highest paid player. The Nats won't have to pick up more than 2 or 3 million of that one would think, but still, we are obviously going to be giving up money in this deal, making it harder to make other deals.
MUCH more importantly....it means that Wilson would go into the starting lineup relegating star-in-the-making rookie Ryan Church to the bench. Now if we then trade Church for something spectacular, what you are about to read may change, but we have to assume for the moment that the plan is simply to "upgrade" Church for Wilson.
Let's get one thing verrrry clear. Preston Wilson is an extraordinarily huge downgrade from Ryan Church.
Ryan Church's OPS? .924
Preston Wilson's OPS? .813
Ryan Church's .924 was compiled with his home park being RFK, one of the most pitcher-friendly parks (if not the most) in all of baseball.
Preston Wilson's .813 was compiled where? Oh, that is right...Coors Field.
A more accurate read of Wilson's stats are probably his road stats where overall the parks will be neutral. His OPS there was a grotesquely low .691 for an outfielder. That means that his road stats will probably stay in that dreadful .691 area, while his home numbers should be even lower, conservatively in the .650 area. YUCK! I'm not saying this will happen exactly, but that is what the numbers say is your most likely scenario.
Oh, and let's dig a bit deeper. How did Wilson get to his .813 OPS? Hitting poorly overall, but at least hitting well in clutch situations? Nope. In fact, his trend is very Cristian Guzman like. Hitting well in the lowest of pressure situations (.925 OPS with none on and 1 or 2 out) to hitting not very well in mid-pressure situations (.835 with none on, none out) to being just awful in high-pressure situations (.632 OPS with runners in scoring position, .535 OPS with runners in scoring position, 2 outs and .536 OPS with bases loaded). This is the guy that Bowden would probably look to bat 5th--talk about an inning killer.
So, please, please Mr. Bowden. Do not make this deal unless something remarkable is up your sleeve--like turning around and trading Wilson to an even bigger sucker. We can't afford to lose Church's bat and glove for this guy.