Wednesday, June 15, 2005

Guzman v. Wilkerson v. Johnson

So, I looked at and figured out some quick situational stats (hopefully, my quick calculations all turned out ok), to show that not only is Cristian Guzman killing us at the plate, he is actually performing far worse than his basic stats.

By way of comparison, I put his numbers alongside someone who is playing average to good ball for us in Brad Wilkerson and our best hitter of the year, Nick Johnson. As you can see, while Wilkerson and Johnson actually do better than their overall stats in the more important situations, Guzman does far worse. Now...if we could only figure out a way to get Nick hitting when he leads off an inning!!


Situation

Guzman OPS

Wilkerson OPS

Johnson OPS

None on, 1 or 2 out

.653

.905

.947

None on, none out

.512

.753

.662

Man 1st, 2 out

.381

.347 (9 PA)

1.199

Man 1st, none or 1 out

.367

.733

1.012

RISP none or 1 out

.348

1.259

1.573

RISP, 2 out

.289

.974

.852

2 Comments:

At 5:09 PM, Blogger Sec. 210 said...

Wilkerson's OPS with None On, None Out makes me wonder if Vidro shouldn't leadoff (with Wilkerson in the 2 hole) if/when he returns...

1. Vidro
2. Wilkerson
3. Guillen
4. Johnson
5. Castilla
6. Church (/Byrd)
7. Schneider/Bennett
8. Spivey

(just daydreaming, but on paper that's a pretty good lineup)

 
At 1:30 AM, Blogger Yuda said...

I'd bat Church/Byrd ahead of Castilla due to Vinny's habit of GIDP, but that's a pretty sweet lineup given the holes we were looking at on April 4.

 

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