Friday, May 06, 2005

Should we be patient with Guzman...

When he shows no signs of patience himself?

As I mentioned in a prior post, if the guy can't hit well, he should at least take some pitches and work the count. However, a quick check of the stats shows that Guzman ranks 197th out of 198 major leaguers in pitches seen per plate appearance. Out of all the shortstops he ranks dead last at 3.06 P/PA. More remarkable is that the guy who is second to last, Orlando Cabrera, is at 3.39 more than 10% higher than Cristian....he's off the bell curve!

By the way, I am pleased that he is hitting a little better lately. But I wouldn't want to hear any "I told you so's." I never expected his OPS to stay at .440 or so. I just don't expect it to go any higher than his career average in the mid .600s, which is still pretty dreadful. All that being said, he's what we've got right now, so I do hope he finds a way to help the club win, which DM's charts show he is surely not doing right now.


At 11:11 AM, Blogger DM said...

The problem is that we are not even allowed to ask the question, given that he is all we got.

Interesting to note that the two free agent signings that Bowden got the most heat on (Castilla and Guzman) are at the complete opposite ends of the RV charts today. Note also too that they are a combined net negative.

At 1:14 PM, Blogger Yuda said...

I always thought Vinny was the more likely to work out. I felt like if he could keep his OBP north of .310 or so, his defense would make up the difference.

Although it's too bad about blocking Harris.

At 2:28 PM, Blogger Cameron said...

Not only are is Castilla + Guzman a net negative, but Castilla + Loaiza + Guillen (all positive) + Guzman are a combined net negative.

At 2:35 PM, Blogger Cameron said...

Also interesting -- we only have 2 batters in the top *140* in pitches/plate appearance (Johnson 14, Wilkerson 27) -- Vidro is 3rd on the team at 144

At 3:32 PM, Blogger dexys_midnight said...

it also appears to me that Guzman's exceedingly high negative ERV is unfortunately, relatively, very important, in that his negative Win Value (admittedly under old system ) is actually close to the ERV number. As you will notice from DM's chart, almost all the players with absolute high ERVs (+ or -) have WVs that are a small percentage of the ERV. Guzamn's percentage is really high which I translate to mean that his ERV is not only woeful, but has been importantly woeful.


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